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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes First Touchdown Odds

KC Every closing first touchdown price on Patrick Mahomes in 2026 and 2025, game by game, next to what actually happened.

Week 10: at ATL

Sun, Nov 15 ยท 1:00 PM ET

No sportsbook on this page has posted Patrick Mahomes's first touchdown price for this game yet. See every first touchdown price that books have posted.

2026 season

Games
8
Times first
1
First TD rate
12%
Average close
+2175
Shortest price
+1700

Every price is a true close. Books pull the first touchdown market as soon as the first touchdown is scored, so the last price each book posted is a true close. A defensive touchdown settles as D/ST, which means no player wins that game. FanDuel leads the columns. It prices first touchdown more actively than any other book we track, so it is the best market reference here. A dash means that book posted no price for this player.

Patrick Mahomes first touchdown closing odds by sportsbook, 2026
Date Opponent Result Scored first FanDuel DraftKings Caesars BetMGM theScore Bet BetRivers Bovada HR Bet (FL) HR Bet (Most States) HR Bet (IL/OH) Fanatics Bet365 Circa PropBuilder BookMaker YourWay Fliff Kalshi Polymarket Novig ReBet Bally Bet
Nov 8 vs NYJ No Kenneth Walker III +2000 +2000 +2100 +2000 +2000 +1800 +2000 +1300 +2000 +2000 +1400 +2200 +2000 +2000 โ€“ +1769 +2105 +1900 +1900 +2400 +1875 +1800
Nov 1 @ DEN No Rashee Rice +3000 +2500 โ€“ +2500 +2500 +2200 +2500 +2500 +2500 +2500 +2000 +2500 +2300 +2500 +1308 +2678 +2095 +2400 +2400 +2603 +2300 +2200
Oct 26 @ SEA No Jaxon Smith-Njigba +2500 +2200 +2500 +2500 +2500 +2000 +2500 +1600 +1600 +1600 +2500 +3000 +1500 +2200 +2055 +2198 +1590 +2400 +2400 +1900 +2100 +2000
Oct 18 vs LAC No Kenneth Walker III +1800 +1800 +1900 โ€“ +2000 +1900 +1800 +1750 +1750 +1750 +1400 +2000 +1900 โ€“ +1595 +1583 +1575 +1900 +1900 +1900 +1600 +1900
Oct 4 @ LV No Ian Thomas +2000 +2200 +2100 +2000 +1800 +1900 +2200 +2500 +2000 +2000 +1800 +2000 +2200 +2200 +2292 +1931 +1600 +1900 +1900 +1718 +2100 +1900
Sep 27 @ MIA No Kenneth Walker III +1700 +1600 +1750 +1700 +1500 +1800 +1600 +1500 +1500 +1500 +1600 +1800 +1600 +1700 +1601 +1584 +1300 +1900 +1567 +1718 +1600 +1800
Sep 21 vs IND No Tyler Warren +1700 +1800 +2000 +1850 +1800 +1800 +1800 +1300 +1300 +1300 +1200 +1650 +1500 +1500 +1446 +1609 +960 +1567 +1150 +1567 โ€“ +1800
Sep 15 vs DEN First Patrick Mahomes +2700 +2800 +2800 +2000 +2500 +2500 +2800 +1600 +1600 +1600 +2500 +2800 +2000 +2400 +1887 +2678 +1550 โ€“ +2400 +2226 โ€“ +2500

2025 season

Games: 14 ยท Times first: 1 ยท First TD rate: 7% ยท Average close: +1850

Patrick Mahomes first touchdown closing odds by sportsbook, 2025
Date Opponent Result Scored first FanDuel DraftKings Caesars BetMGM theScore Bet BetRivers HR Bet (FL) Bet365
Dec 14 vs LAC First Patrick Mahomes +1600 +1700 +1600 +2000 +1800 +1700 โ€“ +2000
Dec 8 vs HOU No Woody Marks +1700 +1700 +1800 +2000 +1500 +1800 โ€“ +2000
Nov 27 @ DAL No Rashee Rice โ€“ โ€“ โ€“ โ€“ โ€“ +2000 โ€“ +2500
Nov 23 vs IND No Michael Pittman Jr. +1700 +1800 +1800 +1900 +1800 +1600 โ€“ +1800
Nov 16 @ DEN No Jaleel McLaughlin +1700 +1600 +1500 +1600 +2000 +1400 +1500 +1600
Nov 2 @ BUF No Dalton Kincaid +2200 +1900 +2100 +2000 +1600 +1800 +2250 +2200
Oct 28 vs WAS No Kareem Hunt +1900 +2000 +1600 +1500 +1300 +1800 +1300 +1800
Oct 19 vs LV No Rashee Rice +1500 +1500 +1300 +900 +850 +1600 +1400 โ€“
Oct 13 vs DET No Xavier Worthy +2200 +1900 +1800 +1600 +1600 +1600 +1600 โ€“
Oct 7 @ JAX No Travis Kelce +1800 +1800 +1700 +2000 +1500 +1900 +2000 โ€“
Sep 28 vs BAL No Justice Hill +1900 +2200 +1600 +1800 +2000 +2000 +1750 โ€“
Sep 22 @ NYG No Cam Skattebo +1800 +1800 +1500 +1000 +1800 +1800 +1400 โ€“
Sep 14 vs PHI No Saquon Barkley +2200 +2200 +2100 +1600 +2200 +2500 +2250 โ€“
Sep 6 @ LAC No Quentin Johnston โ€“ โ€“ โ€“ โ€“ โ€“ +2400 โ€“ โ€“

Shopping this market live?

The tables above are settled closes. JediBets prices first touchdown across 20+ sportsbooks live, flags the best number on every player, and alerts you when it moves.

How to read Patrick Mahomes's 2026 closing odds

Each row is one game. The book columns show the last first touchdown price that sportsbook posted before kickoff, so nothing here is an in-play number. Patrick Mahomes was priced in 8 games and scored first in 1 of them, a 12% strike rate against an average close of +2175. His shortest number of the season was +1700 and his longest was +3000.

Prices differ between books on the same player and the same game, which is the whole argument for line shopping. Compare the columns across a row and you can see how much a bettor left behind by taking the first number they saw. We track 22 sportsbooks on this market.

More: every player's first touchdown history, the free nfl first touchdown tracker for who actually scored, stats and leaders, and live first touchdown odds for today.