Thursday, May 14, 2026
First touchdown scorer predictions for tonight's NFL games. See who's most likely to score the first TD today based on last 10 games data. Free first TD scorer picks.
Check our predictions above to see who we project to score first in tonight's NFL games. After games complete, visit our weekly tracker to see who actually scored first for every team.
First TD scorer odds reflect the probability of a player scoring the very first touchdown for their team. These odds are typically 3-5x higher than anytime TD odds because only one player per team can win. A player at +500 needs to score first 17% of the time to be profitable.
To bet on first TD scorer, analyze goal-line roles, opening drive tendencies, and red zone target shares. Running backs get 40-45% of first TDs due to goal-line work. Look for players who consistently score first using our historical tracker, then compare odds across sportsbooks.
Running backs score first touchdowns most often (40-45%), followed by wide receivers (30-35%), tight ends (10-15%), and quarterbacks (5-10%). Goal-line backs and red zone specialists have the highest first TD rates relative to their playing time.