First TD Scorer Predictions Tonight
Friday, October 02, 2026 · Next up: Week 4 · Sun Oct 4 – Thu Oct 8
First touchdown scorer predictions for tonight's NFL games. See who's most likely to score the first TD today based on last 10 games data. Free first TD scorer picks.
Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders
10/04/2026 08:30 AM
Indianapolis Colts
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Alec Pierce 30%3/10
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Jonathan Taylor 20%2/10
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Josh Downs 10%1/10
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Keenan Allen 10%1/10
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Michael Pittman Jr. 10%1/10
Washington Commanders
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Chris Rodriguez Jr. 10%1/10
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Deebo Samuel 10%1/10
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Jacory Croskey-Merritt 10%1/10
-
Rachaad White 10%1/10
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants
10/04/2026 12:00 PM
Arizona Cardinals
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
-
Michael Wilson 20%2/10
-
Jeremiyah Love 10%1/10
New York Giants
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
-
Devin Singletary 20%2/10
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Cam Skattebo 10%1/10
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Wan'Dale Robinson 10%1/10
Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens
10/04/2026 12:00 PM
Tennessee Titans
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Cam Ward 20%2/10
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Chig Okonkwo 20%2/10
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Elic Ayomanor 10%1/10
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Wan'Dale Robinson 10%1/10
Baltimore Ravens
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Derrick Henry 40%4/10
-
Devontez Walker 10%1/10
-
Rasheen Ali 10%1/10
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills
10/04/2026 12:00 PM
New England Patriots
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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TreVeyon Henderson 20%2/10
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Austin Hooper 10%1/10
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Drake Maye 10%1/10
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Eli Raridon 10%1/10
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Marcus Jones 10%1/10
Buffalo Bills
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Dawson Knox 10%1/10
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James Cook III 10%1/10
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Josh Allen 10%1/10
Recent head-to-head
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots · Week 15 (Dec 14, 2025)
BUF
First TD: None
NE
First TD: Drake Maye
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills · Week 5 (Oct 06, 2025)
BUF
First TD: Curtis Samuel
NE
First TD: None
New York Jets @ Chicago Bears
10/04/2026 12:00 PM
New York Jets
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Kenyon Sadiq 20%2/10
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Breece Hall 10%1/10
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John Metchie III 10%1/10
Chicago Bears
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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D'Andre Swift 20%2/10
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DJ Moore 10%1/10
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Luther Burden III 10%1/10
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T.J. Edwards 10%1/10
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals
10/04/2026 12:00 PM
Jacksonville Jaguars
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Parker Washington 20%2/10
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Travis Etienne Jr. 20%2/10
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Bhayshul Tuten 10%1/10
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Brian Thomas Jr. 10%1/10
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Jakobi Meyers 10%1/10
Cincinnati Bengals
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Chase Brown 20%2/10
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Ja'Marr Chase 20%2/10
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Demetrius Knight Jr. 10%1/10
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Geno Stone 10%1/10
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Tee Higgins 10%1/10
Recent head-to-head
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals · Week 2 (Sep 14, 2025)
CIN
First TD: None
JAX
First TD: Dyami Brown
Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans
10/04/2026 12:00 PM
Dallas Cowboys
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Javonte Williams 20%2/10
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CeeDee Lamb 10%1/10
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Jake Ferguson 10%1/10
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Jaydon Blue 10%1/10
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Ryan Flournoy 10%1/10
Houston Texans
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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David Montgomery 10%1/10
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Derek Stingley Jr. 10%1/10
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Jayden Higgins 10%1/10
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Nico Collins 10%1/10
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Woody Marks 10%1/10
Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
10/04/2026 12:00 PM
Green Bay Packers
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Christian Watson 30%3/10
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Dontayvion Wicks 10%1/10
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Emanuel Wilson 10%1/10
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MarShawn Lloyd 10%1/10
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Romeo Doubs 10%1/10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Cade Otton 10%1/10
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Chris Godwin Jr. 10%1/10
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Emeka Egbuka 10%1/10
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Mike Evans 10%1/10
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Sean Tucker 10%1/10
Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles
10/04/2026 12:00 PM
Los Angeles Rams
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Davante Adams 30%3/10
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Kyren Williams 10%1/10
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Puka Nacua 10%1/10
-
Tyler Higbee 10%1/10
Philadelphia Eagles
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Dallas Goedert 30%3/10
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A.J. Brown 10%1/10
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DeVonta Smith 10%1/10
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Grant Calcaterra 10%1/10
Recent head-to-head
Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3 (Sep 21, 2025)
LAR
First TD: None
PHI
First TD: Jalen Hurts
Miami Dolphins @ Minnesota Vikings
10/04/2026 03:05 PM
Miami Dolphins
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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De'Von Achane 10%1/10
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Jaylen Waddle 10%1/10
Minnesota Vikings
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Aaron Jones Sr. 10%1/10
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C.J. Ham 10%1/10
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J.J. McCarthy 10%1/10
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Josh Oliver 10%1/10
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Myles Price 10%1/10
Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers
10/04/2026 03:25 PM
Denver Broncos
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Bo Nix 10%1/10
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Ja'Quan McMillian 10%1/10
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Jaleel McLaughlin 10%1/10
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Michael Bandy 10%1/10
San Francisco 49ers
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Christian McCaffrey 30%3/10
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Jauan Jennings 20%2/10
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Deebo Samuel 10%1/10
Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders
10/04/2026 03:25 PM
Kansas City Chiefs
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Patrick Mahomes 20%2/10
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Brashard Smith 10%1/10
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Kenneth Walker III 10%1/10
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Rashee Rice 10%1/10
Las Vegas Raiders
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Jack Bech 10%1/10
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Tre Tucker 10%1/10
Recent head-to-head
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders · Week 18 (Jan 04, 2026)
KC
First TD: None
LV
First TD: None
Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs · Week 7 (Oct 19, 2025)
KC
First TD: Rashee Rice
LV
First TD: None
Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks
10/04/2026 03:25 PM
Los Angeles Chargers
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Keaton Mitchell 10%1/10
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Omarion Hampton 10%1/10
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Quentin Johnston 10%1/10
Seattle Seahawks
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Zach Charbonnet 30%3/10
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Jaxon Smith-Njigba 20%2/10
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Ernest Jones IV 10%1/10
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Rashid Shaheed 10%1/10
Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers
10/04/2026 07:20 PM
Detroit Lions
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Jahmyr Gibbs 30%3/10
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Amon-Ra St. Brown 10%1/10
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Isaac TeSlaa 10%1/10
Carolina Panthers
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Chuba Hubbard 20%2/10
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Rico Dowdle 10%1/10
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Tetairoa McMillan 10%1/10
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
10/05/2026 07:15 PM
Atlanta Falcons
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Bijan Robinson 20%2/10
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David Sills V 10%1/10
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Drake London 10%1/10
New Orleans Saints
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Chris Olave 10%1/10
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Devin Neal 10%1/10
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Juwan Johnson 10%1/10
Recent head-to-head
New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons · Week 18 (Jan 04, 2026)
ATL
First TD: Drake London
NO
First TD: None
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints · Week 12 (Nov 23, 2025)
ATL
First TD: David Sills V
NO
First TD: None
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys
10/08/2026 07:15 PM
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
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Cade Otton 10%1/10
-
Chris Godwin Jr. 10%1/10
-
Emeka Egbuka 10%1/10
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Mike Evans 10%1/10
-
Sean Tucker 10%1/10
Dallas Cowboys
Last 10 games · 2025–2026 seasons
Most likely first TD scorers
-
Javonte Williams 20%2/10
-
CeeDee Lamb 10%1/10
-
Jake Ferguson 10%1/10
-
Jaydon Blue 10%1/10
-
Ryan Flournoy 10%1/10
First TD Scorer FAQ
Who scored the first touchdown tonight?
Check our predictions above to see who we project to score first in tonight's NFL games. After games complete, visit our weekly tracker to see who actually scored first for every team.
What are first TD scorer odds?
First TD scorer odds reflect the probability of a player scoring the very first touchdown for their team. These odds are typically 3-5x higher than anytime TD odds because only one player per team can win. A player at +500 needs to score first 17% of the time to be profitable.
How to bet on first touchdown scorer?
To bet on first TD scorer, analyze goal-line roles, opening drive tendencies, and red zone target shares. Running backs get 40-45% of first TDs due to goal-line work. Look for players who consistently score first using our historical tracker, then compare odds across sportsbooks.
Which positions score first TDs most often?
Running backs score first touchdowns most often (40-45%), followed by wide receivers (30-35%), tight ends (10-15%), and quarterbacks (5-10%). Goal-line backs and red zone specialists have the highest first TD rates relative to their playing time.