NBA First Basket Predictions Tonight

Friday, April 24, 2026 • 2025-26 Season

Who will score first tonight? Stats-based first basket predictions with player picks, tip-off probabilities, and shot type analysis for tonight's NBA games.

Updates Every 10 Minutes
First Basket Tracker Historical Stats
Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers
04/24/2026 06:00 PM
PHI
10 Games
1st Point
70.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
55.6%
Most Likely First Scorers
Paul George
30.0% (3/10 games)
3PT: 1 FT: 1
Jericho Sims
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Jayson Tatum
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
30.0%
Free Throw
20.0%
BOS
10 Games
1st Point
60.0%
1st FG
60.0%
Tip Win
60.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jaylen Brown
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
Neemias Queta
20.0% (2/10 games)
FT: 1
Jalen Johnson
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
30.0%
Free Throw
20.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Apr 21, 2026
Jayson Tatum (BOS) - 3pt Shot
Tip: BOS
Apr 19, 2026
Neemias Queta (BOS) - FT 1/2
Tip: PHI
Mar 02, 2026
Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHI) - Jumper
Tip: PHI
Nov 12, 2025
Andre Drummond (PHI) - Dunk
Tip: PHI
Oct 31, 2025
Payton Pritchard (BOS) - 2pt Shot
Tip: BOS
Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets
04/24/2026 07:00 PM
HOU
10 Games
1st Point
60.0%
1st FG
60.0%
Tip Win
20.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jabari Smith Jr.
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 2
Brandin Podziemski
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Alperen Sengun
10.0% (1/10 games)
FT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
10.0%
Mid-Range
40.0%
Free Throw
30.0%
LAL
10 Games
1st Point
40.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
80.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Deandre Ayton
10.0% (1/10 games)
Isaiah Hartenstein
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Cooper Flagg
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
50.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Apr 22, 2026
Jabari Smith Jr. (HOU) - 3pt Shot
Tip: LAL
Apr 19, 2026
Josh Okogie (HOU) - FT 1/2
Tip: LAL
Mar 19, 2026
LeBron James (LAL) - 3pt Shot
Tip: LAL
Mar 17, 2026
Clint Capela (HOU) - FT 2/2
Tip: LAL
Dec 26, 2025
Tari Eason (HOU) - 3pt Shot
Tip: HOU
San Antonio Spurs @ Portland Trail Blazers
04/24/2026 09:30 PM
POR
10 Games
1st Point
70.0%
1st FG
60.0%
Tip Win
20.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jrue Holiday
20.0% (2/10 games)
FT: 1
Scoot Henderson
20.0% (2/10 games)
Stephon Castle
20.0% (2/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
Mid-Range
60.0%
Free Throw
30.0%
SA
10 Games
1st Point
50.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
90.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Stephon Castle
20.0% (2/10 games)
Victor Wembanyama
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
De'Aaron Fox
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
40.0%
Mid-Range
50.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Apr 22, 2026
Stephon Castle (SA) - 2pt Shot
Tip: SA
Apr 20, 2026
Stephon Castle (SA) - 2pt Shot
Tip: SA
Apr 09, 2026
Toumani Camara (POR) - 2pt Shot
Tip: SA
Jan 04, 2026
Donovan Clingan (POR) - Layup
Tip: POR
Nov 27, 2025
Devin Vassell (SA) - Jumper
Tip: SA