NBA First Basket Picks Today

Friday, January 16, 2026 • 2025-26 Season

Stats-based first basket predictions with player picks, tip-off probabilities, and shot type analysis for today's NBA games.

Updates Every 10 Minutes
First Basket Tracker Historical Stats
New Orleans Pelicans @ Indiana Pacers
01/16/2026 06:10 PM
IND
10 Games
1st Point
40.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
50.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Andrew Nembhard
20.0% (2/10 games)
Collin Murray-Boyles
10.0% (1/10 games)
Anthony Black
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
30.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
30.0%
Free Throw
20.0%
NO
10 Games
1st Point
40.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
10.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jeremiah Fears
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1 Rim: 1
Jamal Murray
10.0% (1/10 games)
Davion Mitchell
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
40.0%
Mid-Range
50.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Dec 21, 2025
Saddiq Bey (NO) - Jumper
Tip: IND
Dec 21, 2025
Saddiq Bey (NO) - Jumper
Tip: IND
Dec 15, 2024
Trey Murphy III (NO) - 2pt Shot
Tip: NO
Dec 15, 2024
Trey Murphy III (NO) - 2pt Shot
Tip: NO
Nov 26, 2024
Daniel Theis (NO) - Dunk
Tip: IND
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Philadelphia 76ers
01/16/2026 06:10 PM
PHI
10 Games
1st Point
10.0%
1st FG
10.0%
Tip Win
30.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Cooper Flagg
10.0% (1/10 games)
Darius Garland
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Brandon Ingram
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
10.0%
Mid-Range
80.0%
CLE
10 Games
1st Point
40.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
60.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Evan Mobley
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
Darius Garland
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Cade Cunningham
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
30.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
10.0%
Free Throw
30.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Jan 15, 2026
Darius Garland (CLE) - 3pt Shot
Tip: CLE
Jan 15, 2026
Darius Garland (CLE) - 3pt Shot
Tip: CLE
Nov 06, 2025
Jaylon Tyson (CLE) - Layup
Tip: CLE
Nov 06, 2025
Jaylon Tyson (CLE) - Layup
Tip: CLE
Jan 25, 2025
Guerschon Yabusele (PHI) - 3pt Shot
Tip: CLE
Chicago Bulls @ Brooklyn Nets
01/16/2026 06:40 PM
BKN
10 Games
1st Point
50.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
50.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Terance Mann
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 2
Day'Ron Sharpe
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Cedric Coward
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
30.0%
At Rim
60.0%
Mid-Range
10.0%
CHI
10 Games
1st Point
40.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
30.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Coby White
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
Nikola Vucevic
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
Isaiah Stewart
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
70.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Dec 04, 2025
Michael Porter Jr. (BKN) - Layup
Tip: CHI
Dec 04, 2025
Michael Porter Jr. (BKN) - Layup
Tip: CHI
Mar 14, 2025
Ziaire Williams (BKN) - Dunk
Tip: BKN
Mar 14, 2025
Ziaire Williams (BKN) - Dunk
Tip: BKN
Dec 03, 2024
Nic Claxton (BKN) - Dunk
Tip: BKN
Los Angeles Clippers @ Toronto Raptors
01/16/2026 06:40 PM
TOR
10 Games
1st Point
50.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
30.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Collin Murray-Boyles
10.0% (1/10 games)
Jamal Shead
10.0% (1/10 games)
Brandon Ingram
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
60.0%
LAC
10 Games
1st Point
70.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
60.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Kawhi Leonard
30.0% (3/10 games)
FT: 1
John Collins
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
James Harden
10.0% (1/10 games)
FT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
Mid-Range
60.0%
Free Throw
20.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets
01/16/2026 08:40 PM
HOU
10 Games
1st Point
30.0%
1st FG
30.0%
Tip Win
60.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Amen Thompson
10.0% (1/10 games)
Collin Gillespie
10.0% (1/10 games)
Alperen Sengun
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
50.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
MIN
10 Games
1st Point
70.0%
1st FG
70.0%
Tip Win
70.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Anthony Edwards
30.0% (3/10 games)
3PT: 1 Rim: 1
Rudy Gobert
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
Donte DiVincenzo
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
50.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
30.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Feb 22, 2025
Alperen Sengun (HOU) - 2pt Shot
Tip: HOU
Feb 22, 2025
Alperen Sengun (HOU) - 2pt Shot
Tip: HOU
Feb 07, 2025
Alperen Sengun (HOU) - 2pt Shot
Tip: MIN
Feb 07, 2025
Alperen Sengun (HOU) - 2pt Shot
Tip: MIN
Dec 28, 2024
Julius Randle (MIN) - 3pt Shot
Tip: MIN
Washington Wizards @ Sacramento Kings
01/16/2026 09:10 PM
SAC
10 Games
1st Point
30.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
30.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
LeBron James
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
Jalen Brunson
10.0% (1/10 games)
Devin Booker
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
60.0%
WSH
10 Games
1st Point
30.0%
1st FG
30.0%
Tip Win
20.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Bilal Coulibaly
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 2
Day'Ron Sharpe
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Anthony Edwards
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
40.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Apr 02, 2025
DeMar DeRozan (SAC) - 2pt Shot
Tip: WSH
Apr 02, 2025
DeMar DeRozan (SAC) - 2pt Shot
Tip: WSH
Jan 20, 2025
Jordan Poole (WSH) - Jumper
Tip: WSH
Jan 20, 2025
Jordan Poole (WSH) - Jumper
Tip: WSH