NBA First Basket Picks Today

Tuesday, January 13, 2026 • 2025-26 Season

Stats-based first basket predictions with player picks, tip-off probabilities, and shot type analysis for today's NBA games.

Updates Every 10 Minutes
First Basket Tracker Historical Stats
Phoenix Suns @ Miami Heat
01/13/2026 06:40 PM
MIA
10 Games
1st Point
50.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
50.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Bam Adebayo
20.0% (2/10 games)
FT: 1
Anthony Edwards
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Andrew Wiggins
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
10.0%
Mid-Range
50.0%
Free Throw
20.0%
PHX
10 Games
1st Point
50.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
80.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Royce O'Neale
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1
Devin Booker
10.0% (1/10 games)
Collin Gillespie
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
Mid-Range
80.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Dec 08, 2024
Duncan Robinson (MIA) - 3pt Shot
Tip: MIA
Dec 08, 2024
Duncan Robinson (MIA) - 3pt Shot
Tip: MIA
Nov 07, 2024
Jusuf Nurkic (PHX) - FT 1/2
Tip: MIA
Nov 07, 2024
Jusuf Nurkic (PHX) - FT 1/2
Tip: MIA
Chicago Bulls @ Houston Rockets
01/13/2026 07:10 PM
HOU
10 Games
1st Point
50.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
50.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Kevin Durant
20.0% (2/10 games)
Collin Gillespie
10.0% (1/10 games)
Amen Thompson
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
50.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
CHI
10 Games
1st Point
20.0%
1st FG
20.0%
Tip Win
40.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Coby White
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
Isaiah Stewart
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Donte DiVincenzo
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
70.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Mar 16, 2025
Dillon Brooks (HOU) - 2pt Shot
Tip: CHI
Mar 16, 2025
Dillon Brooks (HOU) - 2pt Shot
Tip: CHI
Nov 18, 2024
Alperen Sengun (HOU) - Jumper
Tip: HOU
Nov 18, 2024
Alperen Sengun (HOU) - Jumper
Tip: HOU
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Milwaukee Bucks
01/13/2026 07:10 PM
MIL
10 Games
1st Point
40.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
20.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Giannis Antetokounmpo
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1 FT: 1
Kevin Porter Jr.
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
Coby White
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
40.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
20.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
MIN
10 Games
1st Point
60.0%
1st FG
60.0%
Tip Win
70.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Anthony Edwards
30.0% (3/10 games)
3PT: 1 Rim: 1
Rudy Gobert
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
Donte DiVincenzo
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
40.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
30.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Dec 22, 2025
Bobby Portis (MIL) - Jumper
Tip: MIN
Dec 22, 2025
Bobby Portis (MIL) - Jumper
Tip: MIN
Apr 09, 2025
Julius Randle (MIN) - 3pt Shot
Tip: MIN
Apr 09, 2025
Julius Randle (MIN) - 3pt Shot
Tip: MIN
Feb 13, 2025
Anthony Edwards (MIN) - 3pt Shot
Tip: MIN
Denver Nuggets @ New Orleans Pelicans
01/13/2026 07:10 PM
NO
10 Games
1st Point
40.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
10.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jeremiah Fears
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1 Rim: 1
Dillon Brooks
10.0% (1/10 games)
FT: 1
Davion Mitchell
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
40.0%
Mid-Range
50.0%
DEN
10 Games
1st Point
80.0%
1st FG
80.0%
Tip Win
60.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jamal Murray
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1
Spencer Jones
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1
DaRon Holmes II
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
55.6%
At Rim
11.1%
Mid-Range
33.3%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Nov 20, 2025
Jeremiah Fears (NO) - 2pt Shot
Nov 20, 2025
Jeremiah Fears (NO) - 2pt Shot
Oct 30, 2025
Nikola Jokic (DEN) - 2pt Shot
Tip: DEN
Oct 30, 2025
Nikola Jokic (DEN) - 2pt Shot
Tip: DEN
Feb 06, 2025
Zion Williamson (NO) - 2pt Shot
Tip: DEN
San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder
01/13/2026 07:10 PM
OKC
10 Games
1st Point
70.0%
1st FG
70.0%
Tip Win
50.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jalen Williams
30.0% (3/10 games)
Rim: 2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
20.0% (2/10 games)
Dyson Daniels
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
40.0%
Mid-Range
50.0%
SA
10 Games
1st Point
50.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
50.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
De'Aaron Fox
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
Brice Sensabaugh
10.0% (1/10 games)
Andrew Nembhard
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
40.0%
Mid-Range
30.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Dec 25, 2025
Jalen Williams (OKC) - Layup
Tip: OKC
Dec 25, 2025
Jalen Williams (OKC) - Layup
Tip: OKC
Dec 24, 2025
Chet Holmgren (OKC) - Dunk
Tip: OKC
Dec 24, 2025
Chet Holmgren (OKC) - Dunk
Tip: OKC
Dec 14, 2025
Chet Holmgren (OKC) - 3pt Shot
Tip: SA
Atlanta Hawks @ Los Angeles Lakers
01/13/2026 09:40 PM
LAL
10 Games
1st Point
70.0%
1st FG
80.0%
Tip Win
80.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
LeBron James
30.0% (3/10 games)
Rim: 2
Jake LaRavia
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Harrison Barnes
10.0% (1/10 games)
FT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
30.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
40.0%
ATL
10 Games
1st Point
40.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
50.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Dyson Daniels
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Jalen Brunson
10.0% (1/10 games)
DaRon Holmes II
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
30.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
40.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Nov 09, 2025
Zaccharie Risacher (ATL) - Layup
Tip: LAL
Nov 09, 2025
Zaccharie Risacher (ATL) - Layup
Tip: LAL
Jan 04, 2025
Anthony Davis (LAL) - Dunk
Tip: LAL
Jan 04, 2025
Anthony Davis (LAL) - Dunk
Tip: LAL
Dec 07, 2024
Jalen Johnson (ATL) - 3pt Shot
Tip: LAL
Portland Trail Blazers @ Golden State Warriors
01/13/2026 10:10 PM
GS
10 Games
1st Point
40.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
70.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Quinten Post
30.0% (3/10 games)
3PT: 1
Kobe Sanders
10.0% (1/10 games)
Jalen Williams
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
50.0%
At Rim
10.0%
Mid-Range
40.0%
POR
10 Games
1st Point
50.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
80.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Deni Avdija
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1 FT: 1
Donovan Clingan
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Daniel Gafford
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
40.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
10.0%
Free Throw
20.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Dec 15, 2025
Jerami Grant (POR) - 3pt Shot
Tip: POR
Dec 15, 2025
Jerami Grant (POR) - 3pt Shot
Tip: POR
Nov 22, 2025
Sidy Cissoko (POR) - Dunk
Tip: POR
Nov 22, 2025
Sidy Cissoko (POR) - Dunk
Tip: POR
Oct 25, 2025
Deni Avdija (POR) - Layup
Tip: POR