NBA First Basket Picks Today

Friday, December 26, 2025 • 2025-26 Season

Stats-based first basket predictions with player picks, tip-off probabilities, and shot type analysis for today's NBA games.

Updates Every 10 Minutes
First Basket Tracker Historical Stats
Boston Celtics @ Indiana Pacers
12/26/2025 06:10 PM
IND
10 Games
1st Point
40.0%
1st FG
30.0%
Tip Win
70.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Andrew Nembhard
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1
Coby White
10.0% (1/10 games)
Bennedict Mathurin
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
40.0%
Mid-Range
40.0%
Free Throw
20.0%
BOS
10 Games
1st Point
70.0%
1st FG
60.0%
Tip Win
50.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Derrick White
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1
Jordan Walsh
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1 FT: 1
Neemias Queta
20.0% (2/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
30.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
40.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Dec 27, 2025
Andrew Nembhard (IND) - 3pt Shot
Tip: IND
Dec 27, 2025
Andrew Nembhard (IND) - 3pt Shot
Tip: IND
Dec 23, 2025
Derrick White (BOS) - 3pt Shot
Tip: BOS
Dec 23, 2025
Derrick White (BOS) - 3pt Shot
Tip: BOS
Dec 29, 2024
Tyrese Haliburton (IND) - 2pt Shot
Tip: BOS
Toronto Raptors @ Washington Wizards
12/26/2025 06:10 PM
WSH
10 Games
1st Point
60.0%
1st FG
60.0%
Tip Win
30.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Bub Carrington
20.0% (2/10 games)
CJ McCollum
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Bilal Coulibaly
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
40.0%
Free Throw
20.0%
TOR
10 Games
1st Point
20.0%
1st FG
30.0%
Tip Win
50.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Austin Reaves
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Bam Adebayo
10.0% (1/10 games)
FT: 1
Andrew Wiggins
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
40.0%
Mid-Range
40.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Dec 27, 2025
Khris Middleton (WSH) - Jumper
Tip: WSH
Dec 27, 2025
Khris Middleton (WSH) - Jumper
Tip: WSH
Nov 22, 2025
Bilal Coulibaly (WSH) - Dunk
Tip: TOR
Nov 22, 2025
Bilal Coulibaly (WSH) - Dunk
Tip: TOR
Oct 12, 2025
Immanuel Quickley (TOR) - FT 2/2
Tip: WSH
Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks
12/26/2025 06:11 PM
ATL
10 Games
1st Point
60.0%
1st FG
60.0%
Tip Win
44.4%
Most Likely First Scorers
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
40.0% (4/10 games)
3PT: 2
De'Aaron Fox
10.0% (1/10 games)
CJ McCollum
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
30.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
50.0%
MIA
10 Games
1st Point
80.0%
1st FG
80.0%
Tip Win
44.4%
Most Likely First Scorers
Bam Adebayo
30.0% (3/10 games)
3PT: 1 Rim: 1 FT: 1
Andrew Wiggins
20.0% (2/10 games)
Davion Mitchell
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
30.0%
At Rim
10.0%
Mid-Range
40.0%
Free Throw
20.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Dec 27, 2025
Norman Powell (MIA) - 2pt Shot
Tip: MIA
Dec 27, 2025
Norman Powell (MIA) - 2pt Shot
Tip: MIA
Oct 13, 2025
Norman Powell (MIA) - 3pt Shot
Tip: MIA
Oct 13, 2025
Norman Powell (MIA) - 3pt Shot
Tip: MIA
Mar 27, 2025
Bam Adebayo (MIA) - Jumper
Tip: ATL
Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic
12/26/2025 06:12 PM
ORL
10 Games
1st Point
50.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
55.6%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jalen Suggs
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1
Devin Vassell
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Anthony Black
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
40.0%
At Rim
10.0%
Mid-Range
40.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
CHA
10 Games
1st Point
30.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
44.4%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jarrett Allen
20.0% (2/10 games)
FT: 2
Isaac Okoro
10.0% (1/10 games)
Brandon Miller
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
50.0%
Mid-Range
20.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Dec 27, 2025
Tyus Jones (ORL) - 3pt Shot
Tip: ORL
Dec 27, 2025
Tyus Jones (ORL) - 3pt Shot
Tip: ORL
Oct 30, 2025
Franz Wagner (ORL) - 2pt Shot
Tip: ORL
Oct 30, 2025
Franz Wagner (ORL) - 2pt Shot
Tip: ORL
Mar 25, 2025
LaMelo Ball (CHA) - 3pt Shot
Tip: CHA
Philadelphia 76ers @ Chicago Bulls
12/26/2025 06:42 PM
CHI
10 Games
1st Point
20.0%
1st FG
20.0%
Tip Win
66.7%
Most Likely First Scorers
Coby White
10.0% (1/10 games)
Isaac Okoro
10.0% (1/10 games)
Buddy Hield
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
70.0%
PHI
10 Games
1st Point
70.0%
1st FG
70.0%
Tip Win
70.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Tyrese Maxey
30.0% (3/10 games)
3PT: 1
Joel Embiid
20.0% (2/10 games)
Jalen Brunson
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
70.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Dec 27, 2025
Tyrese Maxey (PHI) - 3pt Shot
Tip: PHI
Dec 27, 2025
Tyrese Maxey (PHI) - 3pt Shot
Tip: PHI
Nov 05, 2025
Joel Embiid (PHI) - FT 1/2
Tip: CHI
Nov 05, 2025
Joel Embiid (PHI) - FT 1/2
Tip: CHI
Apr 13, 2025
Lonnie Walker IV (PHI) - 3pt Shot
Tip: CHI
Phoenix Suns @ New Orleans Pelicans
12/26/2025 07:10 PM
NO
10 Games
1st Point
70.0%
1st FG
70.0%
Tip Win
10.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Trey Murphy III
40.0% (4/10 games)
Rim: 1
Herbert Jones
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
Anthony Davis
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Predicted Shot Type
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
60.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
PHX
10 Games
1st Point
40.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
80.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Grayson Allen
20.0% (2/10 games)
Devin Booker
10.0% (1/10 games)
Deandre Ayton
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Predicted Shot Type
At Rim
10.0%
Mid-Range
90.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Dec 27, 2025
Trey Murphy III (NO) - Dunk
Tip: PHX
Dec 27, 2025
Trey Murphy III (NO) - Dunk
Tip: PHX
Nov 11, 2025
Devin Booker (PHX) - Jumper
Tip: PHX
Nov 11, 2025
Devin Booker (PHX) - Jumper
Tip: PHX
Mar 01, 2025
Kevin Durant (PHX) - 2pt Shot
Tip: PHX
Milwaukee Bucks @ Memphis Grizzlies
12/26/2025 07:11 PM
MEM
10 Games
1st Point
70.0%
1st FG
70.0%
Tip Win
60.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jaylen Wells
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 2
Santi Aldama
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
Ja Morant
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
40.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
40.0%
MIL
10 Games
1st Point
30.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
40.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Bobby Portis
10.0% (1/10 games)
Cade Cunningham
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Bennedict Mathurin
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
40.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
30.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Dec 27, 2025
Kevin Porter Jr. (MIL) - Dunk
Tip: MEM
Dec 27, 2025
Kevin Porter Jr. (MIL) - Dunk
Tip: MEM
Feb 03, 2025
Luke Kennard (MEM) - Jumper
Tip: MEM
Feb 03, 2025
Luke Kennard (MEM) - Jumper
Tip: MEM
Nov 01, 2024
Brook Lopez (MIL) - 3pt Shot
Tip: MIL
Detroit Pistons @ Utah Jazz
12/26/2025 08:40 PM
UTAH
10 Games
1st Point
60.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
60.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jusuf Nurkic
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1 FT: 1
Ja Morant
10.0% (1/10 games)
Ace Bailey
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
40.0%
Mid-Range
30.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
DET
10 Games
1st Point
40.0%
1st FG
30.0%
Tip Win
40.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1
Jalen Duren
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Cade Cunningham
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
50.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
10.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Nov 06, 2025
Ausar Thompson (DET) - Layup
Tip: DET
Nov 06, 2025
Ausar Thompson (DET) - Layup
Tip: DET
Mar 04, 2025
Johnny Juzang (UTAH) - 3pt Shot
Tip: UTAH
Mar 04, 2025
Johnny Juzang (UTAH) - 3pt Shot
Tip: UTAH
Dec 20, 2024
Tim Hardaway Jr. (DET) - 3pt Shot
Tip: DET
Los Angeles Clippers @ Portland Trail Blazers
12/26/2025 09:10 PM
POR
10 Games
1st Point
30.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
40.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Donovan Clingan
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
Cedric Coward
10.0% (1/10 games)
Ausar Thompson
10.0% (1/10 games)
FT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
30.0%
Free Throw
20.0%
LAC
10 Games
1st Point
50.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
60.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
John Collins
20.0% (2/10 games)
James Harden
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Ivica Zubac
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
50.0%
Free Throw
10.0%