NBA First Basket Predictions Tonight

Thursday, May 14, 2026 • 2025-26 Season

Who will score first tonight? Stats-based first basket predictions with player picks, tip-off probabilities, and shot type analysis for tonight's NBA games.

Updates Every 10 Minutes
First Basket Tracker Historical Stats
Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers
05/15/2026 06:00 PM
CLE
10 Games
1st Point
50.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
60.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jarrett Allen
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 2
Scottie Barnes
20.0% (2/10 games)
Donovan Mitchell
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
70.0%
Mid-Range
10.0%
DET
10 Games
1st Point
40.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
50.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jalen Duren
20.0% (2/10 games)
Desmond Bane
10.0% (1/10 games)
Dean Wade
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
30.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
50.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
May 14, 2026
Daniss Jenkins (DET) - 3pt Shot
Tip: DET
May 12, 2026
Jarrett Allen (CLE) - Layup
Tip: CLE
May 09, 2026
Duncan Robinson (DET) - 3pt Shot
Tip: DET
May 07, 2026
Dean Wade (CLE) - 3pt Shot
Tip: CLE
May 05, 2026
Evan Mobley (CLE) - Dunk
Tip: CLE
San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves
05/15/2026 08:30 PM
MIN
10 Games
1st Point
30.0%
1st FG
30.0%
Tip Win
60.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Victor Wembanyama
40.0% (4/10 games)
Rim: 2
Julius Randle
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1
De'Aaron Fox
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
40.0%
Mid-Range
30.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
SA
10 Games
1st Point
80.0%
1st FG
80.0%
Tip Win
80.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Victor Wembanyama
40.0% (4/10 games)
Rim: 2
Stephon Castle
20.0% (2/10 games)
De'Aaron Fox
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
60.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
May 13, 2026
De'Aaron Fox (SA) - 2pt Shot
Tip: SA
May 10, 2026
Victor Wembanyama (SA) - 2pt Shot
Tip: SA
May 09, 2026
Victor Wembanyama (SA) - Dunk
Tip: SA
May 07, 2026
Victor Wembanyama (SA) - Dunk
Tip: SA
May 05, 2026
Victor Wembanyama (SA) - 2pt Shot
Tip: MIN