NBA First Basket Predictions Tonight

Monday, May 11, 2026 • 2025-26 Season

Who will score first tonight? Stats-based first basket predictions with player picks, tip-off probabilities, and shot type analysis for tonight's NBA games.

Updates Every 10 Minutes
First Basket Tracker Historical Stats
Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers
05/11/2026 07:00 PM
CLE
10 Games
1st Point
60.0%
1st FG
60.0%
Tip Win
70.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jarrett Allen
30.0% (3/10 games)
Rim: 2
Scottie Barnes
20.0% (2/10 games)
Duncan Robinson
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
70.0%
Mid-Range
10.0%
DET
10 Games
1st Point
40.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
60.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jalen Duren
20.0% (2/10 games)
Duncan Robinson
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Desmond Bane
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
60.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
May 09, 2026
Duncan Robinson (DET) - 3pt Shot
Tip: DET
May 07, 2026
Dean Wade (CLE) - 3pt Shot
Tip: CLE
May 05, 2026
Evan Mobley (CLE) - Dunk
Tip: CLE
Mar 04, 2026
Jaylon Tyson (CLE) - Layup
Tip: CLE
Feb 28, 2026
Cade Cunningham (DET) - Hook
Tip: DET
Minnesota Timberwolves @ San Antonio Spurs
05/11/2026 07:00 PM
SA
10 Games
1st Point
80.0%
1st FG
80.0%
Tip Win
80.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Victor Wembanyama
40.0% (4/10 games)
Rim: 2
Stephon Castle
20.0% (2/10 games)
De'Aaron Fox
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
60.0%
MIN
10 Games
1st Point
30.0%
1st FG
40.0%
Tip Win
70.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Victor Wembanyama
40.0% (4/10 games)
Rim: 2
Julius Randle
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1
Aaron Gordon
10.0% (1/10 games)
FT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
40.0%
Mid-Range
30.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
May 10, 2026
Victor Wembanyama (SA) - 2pt Shot
Tip: SA
May 09, 2026
Victor Wembanyama (SA) - Dunk
Tip: SA
May 07, 2026
Victor Wembanyama (SA) - Dunk
Tip: SA
May 05, 2026
Victor Wembanyama (SA) - 2pt Shot
Tip: MIN
Jan 18, 2026
De'Aaron Fox (SA) - 2pt Shot
Tip: SA
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers
05/11/2026 09:30 PM
LAL
10 Games
1st Point
60.0%
1st FG
70.0%
Tip Win
77.8%
Most Likely First Scorers
Rui Hachimura
30.0% (3/10 games)
3PT: 2
Josh Okogie
10.0% (1/10 games)
FT: 1
Jabari Smith Jr.
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
30.0%
At Rim
20.0%
Mid-Range
50.0%
OKC
10 Games
1st Point
20.0%
1st FG
30.0%
Tip Win
37.5%
Most Likely First Scorers
Collin Gillespie
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1
Derrick Jones Jr.
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Ajay Mitchell
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
40.0%
At Rim
40.0%
Mid-Range
20.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
May 10, 2026
Rui Hachimura (LAL) - 3pt Shot
May 08, 2026
Ajay Mitchell (OKC) - Jumper
Tip: LAL
May 06, 2026
LeBron James (LAL) - Layup
Tip: LAL
Apr 08, 2026
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) - Jumper
Tip: OKC
Apr 03, 2026
Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) - Dunk
Tip: LAL