NBA First Basket Predictions Tonight

Saturday, April 04, 2026 • 2025-26 Season

Who will score first tonight? Stats-based first basket predictions with player picks, tip-off probabilities, and shot type analysis for tonight's NBA games.

Updates Every 10 Minutes
First Basket Tracker Historical Stats
San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets
04/04/2026 02:10 PM
DEN
10 Games
1st Point
70.0%
1st FG
70.0%
Tip Win
77.8%
Most Likely First Scorers
Jamal Murray
40.0% (4/10 games)
3PT: 2
Cameron Johnson
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
Ace Bailey
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
30.0%
At Rim
10.0%
Mid-Range
50.0%
Free Throw
10.0%
SA
10 Games
1st Point
70.0%
1st FG
70.0%
Tip Win
70.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Victor Wembanyama
40.0% (4/10 games)
Rim: 3
Derrick Jones Jr.
10.0% (1/10 games)
3PT: 1
De'Aaron Fox
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
60.0%
Mid-Range
30.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Mar 13, 2026
Devin Vassell (SA) - 3pt Shot
Tip: SA
Nov 29, 2025
Devin Vassell (SA) - Jumper
Tip: SA
Apr 03, 2025
Chris Paul (SA) - Jumper
Tip: SA
Jan 05, 2025
Jamal Murray (DEN) - 2pt Shot
Tip: SA
Jan 04, 2025
Michael Porter Jr. (DEN) - Jumper
Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat
04/04/2026 02:10 PM
MIA
10 Games
1st Point
50.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
55.6%
Most Likely First Scorers
Bam Adebayo
20.0% (2/10 games)
FT: 1
Andrew Nembhard
10.0% (1/10 games)
Amen Thompson
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Predicted Shot Type
At Rim
40.0%
Mid-Range
20.0%
Free Throw
40.0%
WSH
10 Games
1st Point
50.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
22.2%
Most Likely First Scorers
Will Riley
30.0% (3/10 games)
Rim: 1
Jalen Brunson
10.0% (1/10 games)
Bub Carrington
10.0% (1/10 games)
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
40.0%
Mid-Range
50.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Mar 10, 2026
Bam Adebayo (MIA) - 2pt Shot
Tip: MIA
Feb 08, 2026
Bub Carrington (WSH) - 3pt Shot
Tip: MIA
Apr 13, 2025
Davion Mitchell (MIA) - 2pt Shot
Tip: WSH
Mar 31, 2025
Jordan Poole (WSH) - 3pt Shot
Tip: MIA
Mar 04, 2025
Khris Middleton (WSH) - 2pt Shot
Tip: MIA
Detroit Pistons @ Philadelphia 76ers
04/04/2026 06:10 PM
PHI
10 Games
1st Point
30.0%
1st FG
30.0%
Tip Win
10.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
VJ Edgecombe
20.0% (2/10 games)
Rim: 1
Daeqwon Plowden
10.0% (1/10 games)
Cody Williams
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
10.0%
At Rim
30.0%
Mid-Range
60.0%
DET
10 Games
1st Point
50.0%
1st FG
50.0%
Tip Win
50.0%
Most Likely First Scorers
Tobias Harris
20.0% (2/10 games)
3PT: 1
Daniss Jenkins
10.0% (1/10 games)
Cason Wallace
10.0% (1/10 games)
Rim: 1
Predicted Shot Type
3-Pointer
20.0%
At Rim
50.0%
Mid-Range
30.0%
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Meetings)
Mar 12, 2026
Cade Cunningham (DET) - Layup
Tip: DET
Nov 15, 2025
Paul Reed (DET) - Layup
Tip: DET
Nov 10, 2025
Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHI) - Dunk
Tip: PHI
Feb 08, 2025
Tyrese Maxey (PHI) - Layup
Tip: PHI
Dec 01, 2024
Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHI) - 3pt Shot
Tip: PHI