MLB Home Run Predictions Tonight
Friday, September 04, 2026 • 2026 Season
Who will hit a home run tonight? Stats-based MLB home run predictions with top hitters, team HR rates, and head-to-head history for tonight's games.
Updates Every 10 Minutes
Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers
● LIVE
08:05 PM ET
Texas Rangers
20 Games
HR Game %
80.0%
HR/Game
1.2
First HR %
65.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Duran
4 HR (20.0%)
Burger
4 HR (20.0%)
Foscue
4 HR (20.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.4
Tampa Bay Rays
20 Games
HR Game %
60.0%
HR/Game
0.9
First HR %
45.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Caminero
6 HR (30.0%)
Díaz
5 HR (25.0%)
Aranda
4 HR (20.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.4
Head-to-Head History
Mar 28, 2025
Misner
(TB)
Inning B9
Mar 27, 2025
Abreu
(BOS)
Inning T5
Mar 29, 2025
Heim
(TEX)
Inning B3
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros
● LIVE
08:10 PM ET
Houston Astros
20 Games
HR Game %
80.0%
HR/Game
1.2
First HR %
60.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Peña
4 HR (20.0%)
Smith
3 HR (15.0%)
Altuve
3 HR (15.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.9
Arizona Diamondbacks
20 Games
HR Game %
70.0%
HR/Game
1.0
First HR %
50.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Arenado
5 HR (25.0%)
Tawa
4 HR (20.0%)
Moreno
4 HR (20.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.7
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
None
(None)
Inning None
Mar 28, 2025
Suárez
(ARI)
Inning B2
Mar 29, 2025
Suárez
(ARI)
Inning B2
Mar 30, 2025
Tucker
(CHC)
Inning T5
Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals
FINAL
08:10 PM ET
Actual Result
First Home Run
Witt Jr. (KC)
Inning B1
All Home Runs Today
Keys (TOR)
Witt Jr. (KC)
Pasquantino (KC)
Kansas City Royals
20 Games
HR Game %
75.0%
HR/Game
1.3
First HR %
55.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Jensen
7 HR (35.0%)
Caglianone
5 HR (25.0%)
Witt Jr.
4 HR (20.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.9
Toronto Blue Jays
20 Games
HR Game %
55.0%
HR/Game
0.95
First HR %
30.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Okamoto
6 HR (30.0%)
Kirk
6 HR (30.0%)
Lukes
5 HR (25.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.7
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Rutschman
(BAL)
Inning T1
Mar 28, 2025
Holliday
(BAL)
Inning T3
Mar 29, 2025
Cowser
(BAL)
Inning T1
St. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies
● LIVE
08:40 PM ET
Colorado Rockies
20 Games
HR Game %
55.0%
HR/Game
0.9
First HR %
25.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Castro
5 HR (25.0%)
Moniak
5 HR (25.0%)
Goodman
5 HR (25.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.7
St. Louis Cardinals
20 Games
HR Game %
80.0%
HR/Game
1.3
First HR %
50.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Walker
6 HR (30.0%)
Burleson
3 HR (15.0%)
Saggese
3 HR (15.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.6
Head-to-Head History
Mar 28, 2025
Misner
(TB)
Inning B9
Mar 27, 2025
Nootbaar
(STL)
Inning B2
Mar 29, 2025
None
(None)
Inning None
Mar 30, 2025
B. Lowe
(TB)
Inning B1
New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres
● LIVE
09:40 PM ET
San Diego Padres
20 Games
HR Game %
55.0%
HR/Game
1.0
First HR %
30.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Tatis Jr.
10 HR (50.0%)
Merrill
7 HR (35.0%)
France
3 HR (15.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.1
New York Yankees
20 Games
HR Game %
75.0%
HR/Game
1.2
First HR %
60.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Grisham
7 HR (35.0%)
García Jr.
5 HR (25.0%)
Rice
5 HR (25.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.4
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Wells
(NYY)
Inning B1
Mar 29, 2025
Tatis Jr.
(SD)
Inning B1
Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers
● LIVE
10:10 PM ET
Los Angeles Dodgers
20 Games
HR Game %
50.0%
HR/Game
0.8
First HR %
45.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Ohtani
7 HR (35.0%)
Muncy
5 HR (25.0%)
Betts
4 HR (20.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.6
Washington Nationals
20 Games
HR Game %
55.0%
HR/Game
0.8
First HR %
40.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Lile
7 HR (35.0%)
Ortiz
5 HR (25.0%)
Chaparro
4 HR (20.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.2
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Ruiz
(WSH)
Inning B5
Mar 29, 2025
Dingler
(DET)
Inning T2
Mar 30, 2025
Freeman
(LAD)
Inning B1
Athletics @ Seattle Mariners
● LIVE
10:10 PM ET
Seattle Mariners
20 Games
HR Game %
55.0%
HR/Game
0.95
First HR %
40.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Raleigh
9 HR (45.0%)
Arozarena
9 HR (45.0%)
Canzone
5 HR (25.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
2.2
Athletics
20 Games
HR Game %
65.0%
HR/Game
1.15
First HR %
35.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Butler
6 HR (30.0%)
Gelof
4 HR (20.0%)
Serven
4 HR (20.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.2
Head-to-Head History
Mar 28, 2025
Soderstrom
(OAK)
Inning T5
Mar 29, 2025
Rooker
(OAK)
Inning T5
Mar 30, 2025
Langeliers
(OAK)
Inning T4
Apr 01, 2025
Greene
(DET)
Inning T1
Frequently Asked Questions
Our predictions are based on historical home run data for each team playing tonight. The "Most Likely HR Hitters" section shows players with the highest home run rates for each team, along with their HR counts and percentages this season. We also show team-level stats like HR Game % and HRs per game to help you identify the most HR-friendly matchups.
Home run outcomes are inherently unpredictable, but our predictions highlight teams and players with the strongest HR tendencies based on historical data. Teams with higher confidence badges (more games in the sample) tend to produce more reliable predictions. Use these as a research tool alongside factors like pitching matchups, ballpark dimensions, and weather conditions.
Key factors include the batter's historical HR rate and recent power numbers, the opposing pitcher's HR/9 rate, ballpark dimensions and altitude (Coors Field being the most HR-friendly), weather conditions like wind direction and temperature, and lineup position. Our stats show each team's first HR percentage and average first HR inning to help you make informed picks.