MLB Home Run Predictions Tonight
Thursday, September 24, 2026 • 2026 Season
Who will hit a home run tonight? Stats-based MLB home run predictions with top hitters, team HR rates, and head-to-head history for tonight's games.
Updates Every 10 Minutes
Houston Astros @ Athletics
● LIVE
09:40 PM ET
Athletics
20 Games
HR Game %
80.0%
HR/Game
1.55
First HR %
55.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Lawrence Butler
6 HR (30.0%)
Zack Gelof
6 HR (30.0%)
Donovan Walton
5 HR (25.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.3
Houston Astros
20 Games
HR Game %
80.0%
HR/Game
1.55
First HR %
70.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Isaac Paredes
6 HR (30.0%)
Jeremy Pena
5 HR (25.0%)
Yordan Alvarez
4 HR (20.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.4
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
None
(None)
Inning None
Mar 28, 2025
Soderstrom
(OAK)
Inning T5
Mar 29, 2025
Rooker
(OAK)
Inning T5
Mar 30, 2025
Langeliers
(OAK)
Inning T4
Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners
● LIVE
09:40 PM ET
Seattle Mariners
20 Games
HR Game %
55.0%
HR/Game
1.05
First HR %
30.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Cal Raleigh
11 HR (55.0%)
Randy Arozarena
10 HR (50.0%)
Lazaro Montes
4 HR (20.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.0
Los Angeles Angels
20 Games
HR Game %
55.0%
HR/Game
0.85
First HR %
45.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Zach Neto
7 HR (35.0%)
Vaughn Grissom
6 HR (30.0%)
Josh Lowe
4 HR (20.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
5.2
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Slater
(CHW)
Inning B2
Mar 28, 2025
Soderstrom
(OAK)
Inning T5
Mar 29, 2025
Rooker
(OAK)
Inning T5
Mar 30, 2025
Langeliers
(OAK)
Inning T4
San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers
● LIVE
10:10 PM ET
Los Angeles Dodgers
20 Games
HR Game %
80.0%
HR/Game
1.4
First HR %
65.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Mookie Betts
7 HR (35.0%)
Kyle Tucker
6 HR (30.0%)
Max Muncy
4 HR (20.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.8
San Diego Padres
20 Games
HR Game %
80.0%
HR/Game
1.5
First HR %
55.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Fernando Tatis Jr.
8 HR (40.0%)
Jackson Merrill
7 HR (35.0%)
Manny Machado
5 HR (25.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.1
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Albies
(ATL)
Inning T3
Mar 29, 2025
Tatis Jr.
(SD)
Inning B1
Frequently Asked Questions
Our predictions are based on historical home run data for each team playing tonight. The "Most Likely HR Hitters" section shows players with the highest home run rates for each team, along with their HR counts and percentages this season. We also show team-level stats like HR Game % and HRs per game to help you identify the most HR-friendly matchups.
Home run outcomes are inherently unpredictable, but our predictions highlight teams and players with the strongest HR tendencies based on historical data. Teams with higher confidence badges (more games in the sample) tend to produce more reliable predictions. Use these as a research tool alongside factors like pitching matchups, ballpark dimensions, and weather conditions.
Key factors include the batter's historical HR rate and recent power numbers, the opposing pitcher's HR/9 rate, ballpark dimensions and altitude (Coors Field being the most HR-friendly), weather conditions like wind direction and temperature, and lineup position. Our stats show each team's first HR percentage and average first HR inning to help you make informed picks.