MLB Home Run Predictions Tonight
Thursday, October 15, 2026 • 2026 Season
Who will hit a home run tonight? Stats-based MLB home run predictions with top hitters, team HR rates, and head-to-head history for tonight's games.
Updates Every 10 Minutes
Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians
01:00 PM ET
Cleveland Guardians
20 Games
HR Game %
65.0%
HR/Game
1.4
First HR %
50.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Travis Bazzana
6 HR (30.0%)
Brayan Rocchio
5 HR (25.0%)
Angel Martinez
4 HR (20.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.6
Tampa Bay Rays
20 Games
HR Game %
55.0%
HR/Game
0.8
First HR %
45.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Junior Caminero
6 HR (30.0%)
Jonathan Aranda
6 HR (30.0%)
Richie Palacios
5 HR (25.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.4
Head-to-Head History
Mar 28, 2025
Misner
(TB)
Inning B9
Mar 27, 2025
Pasquantino
(KC)
Inning B3
Mar 29, 2025
None
(None)
Inning None
Mar 30, 2025
B. Lowe
(TB)
Inning B1
Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers
08:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Dodgers
20 Games
HR Game %
70.0%
HR/Game
1.35
First HR %
65.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Max Muncy
6 HR (30.0%)
Mookie Betts
6 HR (30.0%)
Kyle Tucker
6 HR (30.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.0
Milwaukee Brewers
20 Games
HR Game %
65.0%
HR/Game
0.85
First HR %
60.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
William Contreras
7 HR (35.0%)
Jackson Chourio
6 HR (30.0%)
Brice Turang
5 HR (25.0%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.9
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Wells
(NYY)
Inning B1
Mar 29, 2025
Dingler
(DET)
Inning T2
Mar 30, 2025
Freeman
(LAD)
Inning B1
Frequently Asked Questions
Our predictions are based on historical home run data for each team playing tonight. The "Most Likely HR Hitters" section shows players with the highest home run rates for each team, along with their HR counts and percentages this season. We also show team-level stats like HR Game % and HRs per game to help you identify the most HR-friendly matchups.
Home run outcomes are inherently unpredictable, but our predictions highlight teams and players with the strongest HR tendencies based on historical data. Teams with higher confidence badges (more games in the sample) tend to produce more reliable predictions. Use these as a research tool alongside factors like pitching matchups, ballpark dimensions, and weather conditions.
Key factors include the batter's historical HR rate and recent power numbers, the opposing pitcher's HR/9 rate, ballpark dimensions and altitude (Coors Field being the most HR-friendly), weather conditions like wind direction and temperature, and lineup position. Our stats show each team's first HR percentage and average first HR inning to help you make informed picks.