MLB Home Run Predictions Tonight

Wednesday, April 15, 2026 • 2026 Season

Who will hit a home run tonight? Stats-based MLB home run predictions with top hitters, team HR rates, and head-to-head history for tonight's games.

Updates Every 10 Minutes
HR Tracker HR Stats
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Baltimore Orioles
12:36 PM ET
Baltimore Orioles
17 Games
HR Game %
70.6%
HR/Game
0.94
First HR %
52.9%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Henderson 6 HR (35.3%)
Basallo 3 HR (17.6%)
Jackson 3 HR (17.6%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.8
Arizona Diamondbacks
18 Games
HR Game %
44.4%
HR/Game
0.61
First HR %
33.3%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Marte 4 HR (22.2%)
Arenado 2 HR (11.1%)
Carroll 2 HR (11.1%)
Avg First HR Inning
2.5
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Rutschman (BAL)
Inning T1
Mar 28, 2025
Suárez (ARI)
Inning B2
Mar 29, 2025
Suárez (ARI)
Inning B2
Cleveland Guardians @ St. Louis Cardinals
01:16 PM ET
St. Louis Cardinals
16 Games
HR Game %
68.8%
HR/Game
1.12
First HR %
37.5%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Walker 8 HR (50.0%)
Gorman 2 HR (12.5%)
Urías 2 HR (12.5%)
Avg First HR Inning
5.2
Cleveland Guardians
19 Games
HR Game %
63.2%
HR/Game
1.0
First HR %
52.6%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Ramírez 3 HR (15.8%)
Rocchio 3 HR (15.8%)
Arias 2 HR (10.5%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.7
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Pasquantino (KC)
Inning B3
Mar 29, 2025
Kwan (CLE)
Inning T5
Mar 30, 2025
Manzardo (CLE)
Inning T5
Boston Red Sox @ Minnesota Twins
01:41 PM ET
Minnesota Twins
19 Games
HR Game %
78.9%
HR/Game
1.58
First HR %
63.2%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Buxton 4 HR (21.1%)
Lee 4 HR (21.1%)
Bell 3 HR (15.8%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.1
Boston Red Sox
17 Games
HR Game %
47.1%
HR/Game
0.65
First HR %
29.4%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Abreu 3 HR (17.6%)
Contreras 3 HR (17.6%)
Anthony 1 HR (5.9%)
Avg First HR Inning
5.2
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Abreu (BOS)
Inning T5
Mar 29, 2025
Heim (TEX)
Inning B3
San Francisco Giants @ Cincinnati Reds
06:41 PM ET
Cincinnati Reds
17 Games
HR Game %
76.5%
HR/Game
1.06
First HR %
29.4%
Most Likely HR Hitters
De La Cruz 6 HR (35.3%)
Stewart 5 HR (29.4%)
Steer 3 HR (17.6%)
Avg First HR Inning
5.5
San Francisco Giants
17 Games
HR Game %
41.2%
HR/Game
0.53
First HR %
23.5%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Adames 3 HR (17.6%)
Devers 2 HR (11.8%)
Bader 1 HR (5.9%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.7
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Ramos (SF)
Inning T4
Mar 29, 2025
Flores (SF)
Inning T2
Mar 30, 2025
Ramos (SF)
Inning T5
Mar 31, 2025
McLain (CIN)
Inning B1
Apr 01, 2025
Flores (SF)
Inning T6
Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers
06:41 PM ET
Detroit Tigers
17 Games
HR Game %
41.2%
HR/Game
0.94
First HR %
41.2%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Dingler 4 HR (23.5%)
Carpenter 3 HR (17.6%)
Pérez 2 HR (11.8%)
Avg First HR Inning
2.6
Kansas City Royals
19 Games
HR Game %
52.6%
HR/Game
0.68
First HR %
36.8%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Jensen 4 HR (21.1%)
Garcia 2 HR (10.5%)
India 2 HR (10.5%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.4
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Pasquantino (KC)
Inning B3
Mar 29, 2025
Dingler (DET)
Inning T2
Mar 30, 2025
Freeman (LAD)
Inning B1
Chicago Cubs @ Philadelphia Phillies
06:41 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies
16 Games
HR Game %
62.5%
HR/Game
1.0
First HR %
43.8%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Schwarber 5 HR (31.2%)
Harper 3 HR (18.8%)
García 2 HR (12.5%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.1
Chicago Cubs
19 Games
HR Game %
57.9%
HR/Game
1.0
First HR %
26.3%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Happ 4 HR (21.1%)
Bregman 3 HR (15.8%)
Swanson 3 HR (15.8%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.4
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Ruiz (WSH)
Inning B5
Mar 28, 2025
Suárez (ARI)
Inning B2
Mar 29, 2025
Suárez (ARI)
Inning B2
Mar 30, 2025
Tucker (CHC)
Inning T5
Washington Nationals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
06:41 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates
17 Games
HR Game %
52.9%
HR/Game
1.18
First HR %
47.1%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Lowe 7 HR (41.2%)
Cruz 5 HR (29.4%)
O'Hearn 3 HR (17.6%)
Avg First HR Inning
2.2
Washington Nationals
17 Games
HR Game %
70.6%
HR/Game
1.12
First HR %
41.2%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Abrams 6 HR (35.3%)
Wood 5 HR (29.4%)
Wiemer 2 HR (11.8%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.8
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Ruiz (WSH)
Inning B5
Mar 28, 2025
Cruz (PIT)
Inning T5
Mar 29, 2025
Ruiz (WSH)
Inning B2
Los Angeles Angels @ New York Yankees
07:06 PM ET
New York Yankees
18 Games
HR Game %
66.7%
HR/Game
1.22
First HR %
50.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Judge 6 HR (33.3%)
Rice 5 HR (27.8%)
Grisham 2 HR (11.1%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.1
Los Angeles Angels
18 Games
HR Game %
66.7%
HR/Game
1.33
First HR %
50.0%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Neto 5 HR (27.8%)
Soler 5 HR (27.8%)
Trout 4 HR (22.2%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.0
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Wells (NYY)
Inning B1
Mar 29, 2025
Goldschmidt (NYY)
Inning B1
Mar 30, 2025
Judge (NYY)
Inning B1
Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves
07:16 PM ET
Atlanta Braves
19 Games
HR Game %
63.2%
HR/Game
1.05
First HR %
42.1%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Baldwin 5 HR (26.3%)
Olson 4 HR (21.1%)
Smith 3 HR (15.8%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.0
Miami Marlins
18 Games
HR Game %
50.0%
HR/Game
0.72
First HR %
33.3%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Hicks 3 HR (16.7%)
Caissie 2 HR (11.1%)
Conine 2 HR (11.1%)
Avg First HR Inning
5.1
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
N. Gonzales (PIT)
Inning T6
Mar 28, 2025
Cruz (PIT)
Inning T5
Mar 29, 2025
Tatis Jr. (SD)
Inning B1
Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago White Sox
07:41 PM ET
Chicago White Sox
18 Games
HR Game %
38.9%
HR/Game
0.72
First HR %
33.3%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Murakami 4 HR (22.2%)
Montgomery 3 HR (16.7%)
Pereira 2 HR (11.1%)
Avg First HR Inning
2.9
Tampa Bay Rays
16 Games
HR Game %
37.5%
HR/Game
0.69
First HR %
31.2%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Díaz 3 HR (18.8%)
Aranda 2 HR (12.5%)
Caminero 2 HR (12.5%)
Avg First HR Inning
2.0
Head-to-Head History
Mar 28, 2025
Misner (TB)
Inning B9
Mar 27, 2025
Slater (CHW)
Inning B2
Mar 29, 2025
None (None)
Inning None
Mar 30, 2025
B. Lowe (TB)
Inning B1
Toronto Blue Jays @ Milwaukee Brewers
07:41 PM ET
Milwaukee Brewers
18 Games
HR Game %
66.7%
HR/Game
1.0
First HR %
38.9%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Bauers 5 HR (27.8%)
Sánchez 5 HR (27.8%)
Turang 3 HR (16.7%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.7
Toronto Blue Jays
17 Games
HR Game %
47.1%
HR/Game
0.94
First HR %
29.4%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Giménez 3 HR (17.6%)
Varsho 3 HR (17.6%)
Okamoto 2 HR (11.8%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.6
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Rutschman (BAL)
Inning T1
Mar 28, 2025
Holliday (BAL)
Inning T3
Mar 29, 2025
Cowser (BAL)
Inning T1
Colorado Rockies @ Houston Astros
08:11 PM ET
Houston Astros
17 Games
HR Game %
64.7%
HR/Game
1.12
First HR %
47.1%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Alvarez 5 HR (29.4%)
Walker 4 HR (23.5%)
Smith 3 HR (17.6%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.8
Colorado Rockies
18 Games
HR Game %
61.1%
HR/Game
1.17
First HR %
38.9%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Moniak 5 HR (27.8%)
Goodman 4 HR (22.2%)
Johnston 2 HR (11.1%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.5
Head-to-Head History
Mar 28, 2025
Misner (TB)
Inning B9
Mar 27, 2025
None (None)
Inning None
Mar 29, 2025
None (None)
Inning None
Mar 30, 2025
B. Lowe (TB)
Inning B1
Texas Rangers @ Athletics
09:41 PM ET
Athletics
17 Games
HR Game %
58.8%
HR/Game
0.88
First HR %
35.3%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Langeliers 5 HR (29.4%)
Butler 2 HR (11.8%)
Muncy 2 HR (11.8%)
Avg First HR Inning
5.0
Texas Rangers
17 Games
HR Game %
64.7%
HR/Game
1.06
First HR %
41.2%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Seager 4 HR (23.5%)
Nimmo 3 HR (17.6%)
Burger 3 HR (17.6%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.5
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Abreu (BOS)
Inning T5
Mar 28, 2025
Soderstrom (OAK)
Inning T5
Mar 29, 2025
Heim (TEX)
Inning B3
Seattle Mariners @ San Diego Padres
09:41 PM ET
San Diego Padres
16 Games
HR Game %
50.0%
HR/Game
0.81
First HR %
37.5%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Laureano 3 HR (18.8%)
Merrill 3 HR (18.8%)
Machado 2 HR (12.5%)
Avg First HR Inning
6.0
Seattle Mariners
17 Games
HR Game %
47.1%
HR/Game
0.65
First HR %
41.2%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Donovan 2 HR (11.8%)
Naylor 2 HR (11.8%)
Raleigh 2 HR (11.8%)
Avg First HR Inning
2.8
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
Albies (ATL)
Inning T3
Mar 28, 2025
Soderstrom (OAK)
Inning T5
Mar 29, 2025
Tatis Jr. (SD)
Inning B1
New York Mets @ Los Angeles Dodgers
10:11 PM ET
Los Angeles Dodgers
17 Games
HR Game %
64.7%
HR/Game
1.41
First HR %
41.2%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Ohtani 5 HR (29.4%)
Freeman 3 HR (17.6%)
Pages 3 HR (17.6%)
Avg First HR Inning
3.5
New York Mets
18 Games
HR Game %
50.0%
HR/Game
0.78
First HR %
38.9%
Most Likely HR Hitters
Alvarez 4 HR (22.2%)
Robert Jr. 2 HR (11.1%)
Bichette 1 HR (5.6%)
Avg First HR Inning
4.6
Head-to-Head History
Mar 27, 2025
None (None)
Inning None
Mar 29, 2025
Dingler (DET)
Inning T2
Mar 30, 2025
Freeman (LAD)
Inning B1

Frequently Asked Questions

Our predictions are based on historical home run data for each team playing tonight. The "Most Likely HR Hitters" section shows players with the highest home run rates for each team, along with their HR counts and percentages this season. We also show team-level stats like HR Game % and HRs per game to help you identify the most HR-friendly matchups.
Home run outcomes are inherently unpredictable, but our predictions highlight teams and players with the strongest HR tendencies based on historical data. Teams with higher confidence badges (more games in the sample) tend to produce more reliable predictions. Use these as a research tool alongside factors like pitching matchups, ballpark dimensions, and weather conditions.
Key factors include the batter's historical HR rate and recent power numbers, the opposing pitcher's HR/9 rate, ballpark dimensions and altitude (Coors Field being the most HR-friendly), weather conditions like wind direction and temperature, and lineup position. Our stats show each team's first HR percentage and average first HR inning to help you make informed picks.